Here I state some risks that could potentially harm your investment: I strongly believe all fears associated to high inflation and the Ukraine are already priced in.
Check out this annual report it has no pictures, its 60 pages long, and it outlines every single thing our company did this year! I keep seeing bearish comments about Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) and other SaaS-related articles on Seeking Alpha. App and theme developers pay a 15% revenue share on earnings after the first $1 million, a threshold that resets annually, down from the previous 20% revenue share on their overall revenue. And if this was not enough, the geopolitical tensions between the NATO and Russia added selling pressure, causing stocks and other "risk on" assets to fall as a whole. (The only negative the site doesnt work on mobile. Needless to say, starting an e-commerce business is something considered by many. To calculate my five-year base case price target, I am using a simple multiples valuation method with the following assumptions: Therefore, my base case five-year target for Shopify is around $2,718, representing an upside of 313% and an IRR of 32.8% if reached by 2026 (at the time of writing, Shopify traded at $657.9). We consider our merchants' success to be one of the most powerful drivers of our business model. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. If you are long Shopify and bought near the top, believe me, I feel your pain. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. Graphs, data, and images are animated in a subtle way to add a touch of movement as you scroll down through the site. Sensitivity analysis of intrinsic valuation with respect to key revenue drivers and assumptions. This is not my opinion, but pure facts. 
The model includes the following features: Guidelines for a seamless access to and operation of the model, 2022 by Modelyze Investments Inc. In terms of price action, please take a look at the chart below: As you can see, the current drawdown is the worst in Shopify's trading history, followed by the drawdown in 2016, when it was a much younger company with more volatile financial results. By providing your email address below, you are providing consent to WeCommerce to send you the requested Investor Email Alert updates. Starting as low as $29 per month, Shopify enables anyone to create a minimum viable product (as per Eric Ries' book The Lean Startup) for their online store. We operate in three segments Apps, Themes and Agency which together offer a suite of solutions that support Shopify merchants. All blue font in the model are hardcoded inputs, black font is calculation, red font is the references to the blue inputs on the Assumptions tab, and any orange cells are values sourced from Refinitiv. And vice versa, a stock can be a 5x EPS, be considered "cheap," fall 90% and still be at the same P/E. Is this reasonable?
Sales growth accelerated to almost triple-digit numbers and hence the sales multiple skyrocketed. A 3-statement financial model of a high growth, technology company operation including: revenue schedule, cost schedule, working capital schedule, depreciation and amortization schedule, tax schedule, debt and interest schedule, shareholders equity schedule, covenants and credit statistics spanning across earnings quality, cash flow quality, operating efficiency, balance sheet quality and valuation risk metrics, income statement, cash flow statement and balance sheet for a ten year forecast period. Quantification of risk measures for purposes of valuation including beta, cost of equity and cost of capital. This app could be listed in the Shopify Marketplace. Most people spend a significant portion of their time each day online, so why not approach them there instead? Our portfolio of companies and brands today include Pixel Union, Out of the Sandbox, Archetype, Yopify, SuppleApps, Rehash, Foursixty and Stamped.
It is widely known how difficult it is to migrate a preexisting online store from one platform to another.
Together with Amazon (AMZN), I believe Shopify is at an outstanding position to capitalize on these trends. have you ever had a positive experience trying to read a PDF on your phone? Ustream knocked it out of the park with their look back on 2013 parallax scroll, animations, animated numbers, full-width images you name it, its here. If you decide to invest, buy with caution and be prepared to add a lower levels as the sell-off might be far from done. With all that in mind, I rate the stock a buy. Over time, Shopify has introduced new offerings. Net cash position to remain unchanged as a percentage of market capitalization. 
To counter this, we could launch a plug and play solution. Remember that stock prices move for fundamental reasons. Slower than anticipated sales growth due to deterioration in product perception, leading to higher customer churn.
Includes Ownership Percent, Buy versus Sell comparison, Put-Call ratio and more, Get one-click access to balance sheets, income, operations and cash flow statements without having to find them in Annual and Quarterly Reports, Consolidated Balance Sheets (Parenthetical), Consolidated Statements Of Changes In Shareholders' Equity, Consolidated Statements Of Changes In Shareholders' Equity (Parenthetical), Consolidated Statements Of Operations And Comprehensive Income, Accounts Payable And Accrued Liabilities (Tables), Accounts Payable And Accrued Liabilities - Schedule Of Accounts Payable And Accrued Liabilities (Details), Business Acquisitions - Additional Information (Details), Business Acquisitions - Summary Of Assets Acquired And Liabilities Assumed (Details), Cash And Cash Equivalents - Additional Information (Details), Changes In Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Changes In Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) (Tables), Changes In Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) - Schedule Of Changes In Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) (Details), Commitments And Contingencies - Additional Information (Details), Convertible Senior Notes - Additional Information (Details), Convertible Senior Notes - Summary Of Convertible Debt (Details), Convertible Senior Notes - Summary Of Interest Expense (Details), Credit Facility - Additional Information (Details), Deferred Revenue - Additional Information (Details), Deferred Revenue - Changes In Deferred Revenue (Details), Deferred Revenue - Classification Of Deferred Revenue (Details), Equity And Other Investments - Equity And Other Investments (Details), Equity And Other Investments - Narrative (Details), Equity And Other Investments - Schedule Of Adjusted To Equity And Other Investments With Readily Determinable Fair Values (Details), Equity And Other Investments - Schedule Of Adjusted To Equity And Other Investments Without Readily Determinable Fair Values (Details), Financial Instruments - Additional Information (Details), Financial Instruments - Schedule Of Financial Instruments, Measured At Fair Value On A Recurring And Non-Recurring Basis (Details), Goodwill - Additional Information (Details), Goodwill - Carrying Amount Of Goodwill (Details), Income Taxes - Additional Information (Details), Income Taxes - Deferred Income Tax Assets And Liabilities (Details), Income Taxes - Provision For Income Tax Recovery/Expense (Details), Income Taxes - Schedule Of Comprehensive Income Before Income Tax, Domestic And Foreign (Details), Intangible Assets - Additional Information (Details), Intangible Assets - Classification Of Amortization Expense (Details), Intangible Assets - Estimated Future Amortization Expense (Details), Intangible Assets - Schedule Of Intangible Assets (Details), Leases - Additional Information (Details), Leases - Maturities Of Lease Liabilities (Details), Merchant Cash Advances, Loans And Related Receivables, Merchant Cash Advances, Loans And Related Receivables (Tables), Merchant Cash Advances, Loans And Related Receivables - Summary Of Allowance For Credit Losses (Details), Merchant Cash Advances, Loans And Related Receivables - Summary Of Delinquency Status (Details), Merchant Cash Advances, Loans And Related Receivables - Summary Of Mca, Loans And Related Receivables (Details), Net Income Per Share - Reconciliation Of Weighted Average Number Of Shares Outstanding (Details), Other Current Assets - Schedule Of Other Current Assets (Details), Property And Equipment - Narrative (Details), Property And Equipment - Schedule Of Property And Equipment And Classification Of Depreciation (Details), Segment And Geographical Information (Tables), Segment And Geographical Information - Additional Information (Details), Segment And Geographical Information - Long-Lived Assets (Details), Segment And Geographical Information - Revenue (Details), Shareholders' Equity - Additional Information (Details), Shareholders' Equity - Classification Of Stock-Based Compensation (Details), Shareholders' Equity - Fair Value Assumptions Of Stock Options Granted To Employees (Details), Shareholders' Equity - Stock-Based Compensation Additional Information (Details), Shareholders' Equity - Summary Of Stock Option And Rsu Award Activity (Details), Significant Accounting Policies (Policies), Significant Accounting Policies - Accounting Pronouncements Adopted (Details), Significant Accounting Policies - Advertising Costs (Details), Significant Accounting Policies - Earnings Per Share (Details), Significant Accounting Policies - Intangible Assets (Details), Significant Accounting Policies - Merchant Solutions (Details), Significant Accounting Policies - Property And Equipment (Details), Significant Accounting Policies - Schedule Of Differences Between Reported Amount And Reporting Currency Denominated Amount (Details), Significant Accounting Policies - Segment Information (Details), Significant Accounting Policies - Software Development Costs (Details), Trade And Other Receivables - Activity In Allowance Of Doubtful Accounts (Details), Trade And Other Receivables - Schedule Of Trade And Other Receivables (Details), Exhibit 23.1: Consents Of Experts And Counsel, Exhibit 31.1: Rule 13A-14(A)/15D-14(A) Certification, https://last10k.com/sec-filings/shop/0001594805-22-000011.htm. We can combine design and data to create a compelling website that people will actually want to read. Annual financial statements built based on the quarterly actuals and forecasts of financial statements. They know that once a client integrates their solution, it's difficult for them to switch and rarely churn. With that, here I present you with five reasons why you should consider adding to your Shopify investment (at least, don't sell any shares). Please wait while we load the requested 40-F report or click the link below: https://last10k.com/sec-filings/report/1594805/000159480522000011/exhibit11annualinformation.htm. As you can see, the secular trend is clear and e-commerce growth is far from finished. Consequently, many consider entrepreneurship a real alternative to "traditional" career paths. Essentially, an app to easily integrate with any e-commerce, regardless of their tech savviness. 
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